Political Risk Assessment upon the Operations of International Express Delivery Industries in Taiwan

• Main Authors: Ying-Shou Su, 蘇盈守
• Other Authors: Ming-Chih Tsai
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2000
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/75615309398706097514

碩士 === 國立高雄第一科技大學 === 運輸與倉儲營運系 === 89 === Over the past five years, the official transport agencies in Taiwan were desperate to construct the island as the regional distribution center of international express delivery and, according to the prevalent transport policy, authorized the access of using exclusive working area at the Taipei international airport to two of four main global express delivery companies, i.e. UPS and FedEx. However, owing to incomplete justification and insubstantiality of the transport policies and relative instability of overall political and economics environments, the developments of international express delivery in Taiwan are still sensitively confined to some limitations in political aspects. This study consequently establishes a generic structure for assessing business’ operating risks resulting from political factors and initiates the categories of risk treatments towards which the policy amendments should move to mitigate the operating risks as well as to ensure the reasonability of the overall transport environment. In this study, the operations of international express delivery in Taiwan are empirically and systematically investigated, and, based on the structure of Business Environment Risk Information (BERI), which has been broadly used globally, the potential operating risks are identified and classified into six main groups. The operating risks, defined as the product of event occurrence and event consequences (each of which is measured on the Likert five—metrics scale), are qualitatively answered by 16 professionals representing three different groups. The qualitative risks are assessed by Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and tested by Spearman ranking method to compare the relative risks between the events and to reflect the risk perceptions from the different groups of people. By using the skills of risk management, this study devises the principle of political risk control of governments as the directions of transport policy improvements.