Summary: | 碩士 === 國防管理學院 === 國防決策科學研究所 === 89 === For most of us, globalization has become a reality. The fluctuation of the stock market in the United States and Japan has immediate impact on the stock market here in Taiwan. The economic and trade measures of Mainland China will have chain reactions on Taiwan too. After joining WTO, Taiwan’s ties with the world will get closer. In view of this globalization trend, the focus of national security has been transformed from military confrontation to economic and trade competition. Economic and trade capabilities have become one of the most important factors in determining national power. In addition, economic and trade capabilities determine whether a country is in a dominant position in the international system or merely a subordinate one. This thesis tries to use a decision model based on the analysis of value, fact, and consequence to evaluate the current economic and trade policy as well as economic interactions between Mainland China and Taiwan, and to evaluate the possible impact on Taiwan’s national security. The globalization trend illustrates that the security threat of a country comes not just military consideration, economic and trade factors are also important. A country’s economic and trade development must take national security into account. Under the current structure of WTO, once Mainland China and Taiwan become members, our objective is to maintain peace and stability between across Taiwan Strait. Meanwhile, the Taiwan government must play the role as an electric generator, emphasizing education and training, carrying out the key technology research and development, building infrastructure, opening up capital raising channels, cultivating capability of information integration, in order to maintain our national competitiveness.
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