| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中興大學 === 公共行政及政策研究所 === 86 === This thesis applicies the concepts of fuzzy in the public policyreserach and uses the anticipate techique, Delphi method, whichis often used in the public policyas the object of positive analyze.There are three motivations for the thesis: 1.It is hard to choicea appropriate approach between qualitative approach and quantitativeapproach. 2.Fuzzy theory has been successfully applied to industrialapplication and social science will be. 3.Subjectivity and uncertaintyare the two kinds of nature of the public policy. According to thefuzzy theory, the fuzzy questionnaire is designed, and it is used inthe Delphi method and corrects the method as "improved fuzzy Delphimethod".The questionnaire has two results, one is from the "traditional",the other is from the "fuzzy questionnaire". The two results formthe "experts'''' co-opinion area". The questionnaire is based on the "pre-experimental design" the analyzing is according to the "non-parametric method", and the attempt of this research not only tounderstand which model is perfect but also trying to structure severalfuzzy analyze methods on the public policy research.Here are for results found in the reaearch: 1.Fuzzy theory can resolvethe
qualitative approach and quantitative approach argument in policyresearch. 2.Using the "policy argument structure" can prove that fuzzy theory indeed applies to the public policy research. 3.According tothe fuzzy Delphi process, the difficulty which Delphi method meets inthe past can be improved. 4.The result of information analyzing gotfrom the fuzzy questionnaire is better than it from the traditionalquestionnaire that is used before.
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