以系統思考探討建立國土綜合規劃政策分析系統

碩士 === 國立成功大學 === 都市計劃研究所 === 84 === It has been over ten years since the Taiwan Comprehensive development Plan was issued on 1979. Although the proposed planning goals and contents for antional developments were quite complete, the objective of guiding and shaping nation''s development h...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: 劉炯廷
Other Authors: 姜渝生
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 1996
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/38769574070128778189
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立成功大學 === 都市計劃研究所 === 84 === It has been over ten years since the Taiwan Comprehensive development Plan was issued on 1979. Although the proposed planning goals and contents for antional developments were quite complete, the objective of guiding and shaping nation''s development has not been successfully achieved. One of the reasons is that there are too many policy issues about nation''s future development involved and to be evaluated. All policy issues are interrelated to each other and have broad-scoped and deep-influencing characteristics. Therefore, it''s hard to fully understand their impacts on future socioeconomic system, thus effective instruments and mechanism for implementing the proposed plans and policed could not be drafted. Consequently, the purpose of this study is to suggest a system structure that presents the interactions between national development polices and the socioeconomic system in a comprehensive way such that the impacts of each policy on socioeconomic system can be effectively evaluated. Methodologically, the above-mentioned interacting system structure is too complicated to be handled by system analysis, operational research, or econometrics models. There are too many variables and the causalities among variables are too complex to be quantitatively defined. The only appropriate approach for the proposed system would be the Systems Thinking. Through Systems Thinking tools, we can successfully understand and control the described system structure. According to the above-mentioned purposes and the related policy issues involving the national comprehensive development plan, a system structure of seven sectors is proposed, namely demographic, industrial, fiscal, financial, environmental, land-use, and resource. The underlying structural relationships of each sector as well as the feedback causalities among these sectors are described and defined. Under the system structure, different future development policies can be deeply explored and evaluated. The system structure also provides a learning tool for decision-makesrs and planners.