最佳電力設備擴張決策之選擇

• Main Author: 江豐文
• Other Authors: 楊維楨
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/98857289332854465406

碩士 === 淡江大學 === 管理科學研究所 === 68 === 　　Energy crisis has become serious problem ever since the fall of 1973. As the electric power is the most popular type of energy supply, expansion strategy of electric power plant is very important from the viewpoint of saving energy and dispersing the reliance for particular energy. This work is trying to find an optimal annual expansion policy of electric power plants by using dynamic programming approach. 　　In this study, we use forward approach to get each statements that fit the conditions at the end of a certain plan, and the optimal policy is chosen by using the principle of optimality. The optimal policy means that the total costs and expenses of accomplishing the estimate demand and multiesource of electric power in each year to be the least. The expenses and the total operating costs and fuel costs of the whole electric power system. According to the national policy, the major electric resources for the electric power plant are assumed to be nuclear, fuel coal and fuel oil. 　　In the paper, first, the characteristics of electric power industry are illustrated; second, dynamic programming technique is introduced; then a mathematical model is established and the variables in the model are chosen according to the real data; and the results are obtained. This study propose a new method which offer a choose for decision-maker by giving multi-resource energy developing strategies.