Human development as a probabilistic process: lessons from thirty years working on child development in the Third World
The thesis of chis paper is that the predicrions of !ater human development based on a single event during early life generally have a weak interna! validiry. These limitations are not due to problems of study design but ro un erroneous conceptualization of the very nature of development. This is no...
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| Format: | Others |
| Language: | Español |
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Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú
2013
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| Online Access: | http://revistas.pucp.edu.pe/index.php/psicologia/article/view/7381/7602 http://repositorio.pucp.edu.pe/index/handle/123456789/100774 |
| Summary: | The thesis of chis paper is that the predicrions of !ater human development based on a single event during early life generally have a weak interna! validiry. These limitations are not due to problems of study design but ro un erroneous conceptualization of the very nature of development. This is not determined by main effects but by the complex relationships among domains wirhin the organism and between the organism and the physical and che social environment. The propasa! is ro model human development as a probabilistic process that gradually shapes its developmental trajectory. === La tesis de este trabajo es que las predicciones sobre la dirección del desarrollo humano basándose en un solo evento ocurrido durante los primeros años de la vida generalmente tienen una débil validez interna. Las limitaciones de dichas predicciones no se deben a las limitaciones inherentes a los estudios que han puesto a prueba la validez de la predicción sino a una conceptualización errada sobre la naturaleza misma del desarrollo. Este no está determinado por efectos principales sino por complejas relaciones recíprocas entre los diferentes componentes del organismo y entre este y el ambiente físico y social. Se propone que hay que modelar el desarrollo como un proceso probabilístico cuya trayectoria se va forjando gradualmente. |
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