The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study

The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: McCafferty, James T.
Language:English
Published: University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK 2013
Subjects:
Criminology
Predictive Validity
Risk Assessment
Juvenile Justice
Juvenile Corrections
Online Access:http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1384334038
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spelling ndltd-OhioLink-oai-etd.ohiolink.edu-ucin13843340382021-08-03T06:20:21Z The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study McCafferty, James T. Criminology Predictive Validity Risk Assessment Juvenile Justice Juvenile Corrections Actuarial risk assessments are a vital part of evidenced-based correctional intervention onthe juvenile delinquent population. Risk assessments should demonstrate predictive validity toensure appropriate and accurate use on a population of offenders (Bonta, 2002). The body ofresearch on juvenile risk assessments indicates that many tools currently in use have predictivevalidity; however, research also indicates that the same instrument can create a range inpredictive validity effect sizes across samples and settings (Andrews et al. 2011). The purposeof this dissertation is to re-validate the Ohio Youth Assessment System—Disposition Instrument(OYAS-DIS) and to explore the variation in predictive validity across county jurisdictions inOhio. To test the predictive validity of the instrument, this study used a sample of 2,841delinquent youth across 33 Ohio counties. Youth were followed for 12-months after theassessment date to measure if the youth had been rearrested, had a technical violation of theirprobation supervision, or any recidivism (a composite measure of the two former outcomes).Bivariate results indicated that the risk levels generated by the OYAS-DIS created threestatistically significant groups based on recidivism rates and that the overall risk score wasrelated to each measure of recidivism. Further, the results from multivariate binary logisticregression models provided evidence that as risk levels increased the likelihood of reoffendingalso increased. This study also found that significant variation existed across each dependentvariable; however, results from stratified comparisons of county groups and multi-level modelswere mixed as to the cause of the variation. This dissertation also concludes with a discussion ofpotential avenues of future research on the topic. 2013 English text University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1384334038 http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1384334038 unrestricted This thesis or dissertation is protected by copyright: all rights reserved. It may not be copied or redistributed beyond the terms of applicable copyright laws.
collection NDLTD
language English
sources NDLTD
topic Criminology
Predictive Validity
Risk Assessment
Juvenile Justice
Juvenile Corrections
spellingShingle Criminology
Predictive Validity
Risk Assessment
Juvenile Justice
Juvenile Corrections
McCafferty, James T.
The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study
author McCafferty, James T.
author_facet McCafferty, James T.
author_sort McCafferty, James T.
title The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study
title_short The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study
title_full The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study
title_fullStr The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study
title_full_unstemmed The Predictive Validity of the Ohio Youth Assessment System-Disposition Instrument: A Revalidation Study
title_sort predictive validity of the ohio youth assessment system-disposition instrument: a revalidation study
publisher University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK
publishDate 2013
url http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1384334038
work_keys_str_mv AT mccaffertyjamest thepredictivevalidityoftheohioyouthassessmentsystemdispositioninstrumentarevalidationstudy
AT mccaffertyjamest predictivevalidityoftheohioyouthassessmentsystemdispositioninstrumentarevalidationstudy
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