The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility

The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mattiacci, Eleonora
Language:English
Published: The Ohio State University / OhioLINK 2014
Subjects:
Political Science
International Relations
foreign policy
time series
event data
military power
domestic constituency
Online Access:http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1408964976
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spelling ndltd-OhioLink-oai-etd.ohiolink.edu-osu14089649762021-08-03T06:27:12Z The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility Mattiacci, Eleonora Political Science International Relations foreign policy time series event data military power domestic constituency To the casual observer of international relations, countries like the United States appear to always neatly classify other countries as either allies (e.g., Canada) or enemies (Iran). Yet there exists a sizable subset of states---India and Pakistan among them---whose relations are volatile, in that their foreign policy toward one another shifts inconsistently between episodes of intense cooperation and episodes of bitter violence. Volatile relations are dangerous, because these inconsistent shifts increase states' uncertainty over their opponent's intentions, thus increasing the likelihood of violence. What are the determinants of volatility in foreign policy? I advance a theory of volatility that integrates dynamics at the domestic and at the international level. I argue that volatility is the outcome of the interaction between the presence of domestic institutions that respond to multiple and heterogeneous interests and a state's relative power preponderance in the international system. I posit two distinct causal mechanism as operating at the two levels: a redistributive one at the domestic level and an availability one at the international level. I test this theory using originally collected event data on the interactions between rivals in the years 1948--2009. 2014 English text The Ohio State University / OhioLINK http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1408964976 http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1408964976 unrestricted This thesis or dissertation is protected by copyright: all rights reserved. It may not be copied or redistributed beyond the terms of applicable copyright laws.
collection NDLTD
language English
sources NDLTD
topic Political Science
International Relations
foreign policy
time series
event data
military power
domestic constituency
spellingShingle Political Science
International Relations
foreign policy
time series
event data
military power
domestic constituency
Mattiacci, Eleonora
The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility
author Mattiacci, Eleonora
author_facet Mattiacci, Eleonora
author_sort Mattiacci, Eleonora
title The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility
title_short The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility
title_full The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility
title_fullStr The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility
title_full_unstemmed The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility
title_sort determinants of foreign policy volatility
publisher The Ohio State University / OhioLINK
publishDate 2014
url http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1408964976
work_keys_str_mv AT mattiaccieleonora thedeterminantsofforeignpolicyvolatility
AT mattiaccieleonora determinantsofforeignpolicyvolatility
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