Optimal long-term financing under ambiguous volatility

Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2018. === Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. === Includes bibliographical references (pages 43-45). === I study a continuous-time principal-agent model with hidden action in which the principal...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hansen, Peter G. (Peter Giles)
Other Authors: Andrey Malenko.
Format: Others
Language:English
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/118011
Description
Summary:Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2018. === Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. === Includes bibliographical references (pages 43-45). === I study a continuous-time principal-agent model with hidden action in which the principal and the agent have ambiguous beliefs about the volatility of the project cash flows. I describe a novel formulation that captures uncertainty about the underlying volatility process show how it affects the optimal contract. Ambiguity aversion generates endogenous belief heterogeneity between the principal and the agent. Under the optimal contract, the agent always trusts the benchmark probability model, while the principal forms expectations as if volatility is strictly higher and state-dependent. Additionally, I show ambiguity aversion generates asset pricing implications for the implied financial securities. === by Peter G. Hansen. === S.M. in Management Research