Finansiškai stabilios bonus-malus sistemos sudarymas

Darbe konstruojame bonus-malus sistemas, kurios yra finansiškai stabilios bėgant metams. Pasinaudodami sudėtiniu Puasono skirstiniu randame begalinės bonus-malus sistemos koeficientus. Išsprendę kvadratinio minimizavimo uždavinį randame baigtinės bonus-malus sistemos koeficientus. === Mixed Poisson...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Antanaitis, Tomas
Other Authors: Misevičius, Gintautas
Format: Dissertation
Language:Lithuanian
Published: Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT) 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://vddb.laba.lt/fedora/get/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2009~D_20101125_190755-45816/DS.005.0.01.ETD
Description
Summary:Darbe konstruojame bonus-malus sistemas, kurios yra finansiškai stabilios bėgant metams. Pasinaudodami sudėtiniu Puasono skirstiniu randame begalinės bonus-malus sistemos koeficientus. Išsprendę kvadratinio minimizavimo uždavinį randame baigtinės bonus-malus sistemos koeficientus. === Mixed Poisson fit is applied to a motor third party liability insurance portfolio in order to construct a bonus–malus system with finite number of classes. The premiums for a bonus-malus system which stays in financial equilibrium over the years are calculated. This is done by minimizing a quadratic function of the difference between the premiums for an optimal BMS with an infinite number of classes and the premiums for a BMS with finite number of classes, weighted by the stationary probability of being in a certain class, and by imposing various constraints on the system.