O ciclo de crescimento de Goodwin e a parcela salarial na economia brasileira

• Main Author: Miebach, Alessandro Donadio
• Other Authors: Marquetti, Adalmir Antonio
• Format: Others
• Language: Portuguese
• Published: Pontif?cia Universidade Cat?lica do Rio Grande do Sul 2017
• Subjects: Modelo de Goodwin; Economia Brasileira; Conflito Distributivo; CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
• Online Access: http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/handle/tede/7511

Submitted by Caroline Xavier ([e-mail]) on 2017-06-30T18:14:55Z No. of bitstreams: 1 TES_ALESSANDRO_DONADIO_MIEBACH_COMPLETO.pdf: 1281224 bytes, checksum: eb05f082f89f64204057af3c69a116f4 (MD5) === Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-30T18:14:55Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 TES_ALESSANDRO_DONADIO_MIEBACH_COMPLETO.pdf: 1281224 bytes, checksum: eb05f082f89f64204057af3c69a116f4 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-03-30 === This study analyzes the presence of the Goodwin growth cycle (or Goodwin model) in the Brazilian economy for the period between 1947 and 2013. The analysis is carried out through a wage share time series obtained from the sources from the Brazilian economy and a series for the level of capacity utilization. Obtaining wage share time series contemplates the division of mixed incomes between labor income and capital income. The analysis for the presence of Goodwin cycles is made through a qualitative evaluation, the procedures of Harvie (2000) and Pichardo (2015). In addition, dummy variables are used to identify the dynamics between the wage share and the level of capacity utilization corresponding to different periods in the history of the Brazilian economy. The periods are defined according to the current socioeconomic characteristics of Brazilian society. The results indicate the presence of mechanisms of the type associated with the Goodwin model for different moments in the Brazilian economy. However, the Goodwin cycle is only observed for the period between 1998 and 2009. === Este estudo analisa a presen?a do ciclo de crescimento de Goodwin (ou modelo de Goodwin) na economia brasileira para o per?odo 1947-2013. A an?lise ? efetuada atrav?s de uma s?rie para a parcela salarial, obtida a partir das fontes dispon?veis para a economia brasileira, e uma s?rie para o n?vel de utiliza??o da capacidade instalada. A obten??o da s?rie para a parcela salarial contempla a divis?o dos rendimentos mistos entre remunera??o do trabalho e remunera??o do capital. A an?lise para a presen?a de ciclos de Goodwin ? efetuada atrav?s de uma avalia??o qualitativa dos procedimentos de Harvie (2000) e de Pichardo (2015). Adicionalmente, utilizam-se vari?veis dummy, com vistas a identificar as din?micas entre a parcela salarial e o n?vel de utiliza??o da capacidade instalada correspondentes a distintos per?odos da economia brasileira brasileira. Os per?odos s?o definidos de acordo com as caracter?sticas socioecon?micas vigentes na sociedade. Os resultados indicam a presen?a de mecanismos consistentes com o modelo de Goodwin, em distintos momentos, na economia brasileira. Entretanto o ciclo de Goodwin somente ? observado no per?odo 1998-2009.