Short-Time Prediction Based on Recognition of Fuzzy Time Series Patterns

This article proposes knowledge-based short-time prediction methods for multivariate streaming time series, relying on the early recognition of local patterns. A parametric, well-interpretable model for such patterns is presented, along with an online, classification-based recognition procedure. Sub...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Herbst, Gernot
Other Authors: TU Chemnitz, Fakultät für Elektrotechnik und Informationstechnik
Format: Others
Language:English
Published: Universitätsbibliothek Chemnitz 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:ch1-201001012
http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:ch1-201001012
http://www.qucosa.de/fileadmin/data/qucosa/documents/6025/data/GernotHerbst_Ipmu2010.pdf
http://www.qucosa.de/fileadmin/data/qucosa/documents/6025/20100101.txt
Description
Summary:This article proposes knowledge-based short-time prediction methods for multivariate streaming time series, relying on the early recognition of local patterns. A parametric, well-interpretable model for such patterns is presented, along with an online, classification-based recognition procedure. Subsequently, two options are discussed to predict time series employing the fuzzified pattern knowledge, accompanied by an example. Special emphasis is placed on comprehensible models and methods, as well as an easy interface to data mining algorithms.