A Bridge between Short-Range and Seasonal Forecasts: Data-Based First Passage Time Prediction in Temperatures
Current conventional weather forecasts are based on high-dimensional numerical models. They are usually only skillful up to a maximum lead time of around 7 days due to the chaotic nature of the climate dynamics and the related exponential growth of model and data initialisation errors. Even the full...
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| Format: | Doctoral Thesis |
| Language: | English |
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Saechsische Landesbibliothek- Staats- und Universitaetsbibliothek Dresden
2013
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| Online Access: | http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-104493 http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-104493 http://www.qucosa.de/fileadmin/data/qucosa/documents/10449/thesis_wulffen.pdf |