Market timing, investment, and risk management

The 2008 financial crisis exemplifies significant uncertainties in corporate financing conditions. We develop a unified dynamic q-theoretic framework where firms have both a precautionary-savings motive and a market-timing motive for external financing and payout decisions, induced by stochastic fin...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bolton, Patrick (Author), Chen, Hui (Contributor), Wang, Neng (Author)
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management (Contributor)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier B.V., 2014-06-04T19:25:30Z.
Subjects:
Online Access:Get fulltext
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100 1 0 |a Bolton, Patrick  |e author 
100 1 0 |a Sloan School of Management  |e contributor 
100 1 0 |a Chen, Hui  |e contributor 
700 1 0 |a Chen, Hui  |e author 
700 1 0 |a Wang, Neng  |e author 
245 0 0 |a Market timing, investment, and risk management 
260 |b Elsevier B.V.,   |c 2014-06-04T19:25:30Z. 
856 |z Get fulltext  |u http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/87634 
520 |a The 2008 financial crisis exemplifies significant uncertainties in corporate financing conditions. We develop a unified dynamic q-theoretic framework where firms have both a precautionary-savings motive and a market-timing motive for external financing and payout decisions, induced by stochastic financing conditions. The model predicts (1) cuts in investment and payouts in bad times and equity issues in good times even without immediate financing needs; (2) a positive correlation between equity issuance and stock repurchase waves. We show quantitatively that real effects of financing shocks may be substantially smoothed out as a result of firms' adjustments in anticipation of future financial crises. 
520 |a Chazen Institute 
546 |a en_US 
655 7 |a Article 
773 |t Journal of Financial Economics