Simplicity and Probability Weighting in Choice under Risk

<jats:p> We present a speculative application of model estimates from Fudenberg and Puri (2021) to prize-linked savings in South Africa. The models used include one combining simplicity theory (Puri 2018, 2022), a preference for lotteries with fewer possible outcomes, with cumulative prospect...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Fudenberg, Drew (Author), Puri, Indira (Author)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Economic Association, 2022-08-26T18:43:15Z.
Subjects:
Online Access:Get fulltext
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700 1 0 |a Puri, Indira  |e author 
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520 |a <jats:p> We present a speculative application of model estimates from Fudenberg and Puri (2021) to prize-linked savings in South Africa. The models used include one combining simplicity theory (Puri 2018, 2022), a preference for lotteries with fewer possible outcomes, with cumulative prospect theory. The results and those of prior literature indicate that both simplicity and probability weighting have a role to play in understanding behavior in choice under risk. We discuss the properties of these models and their implications for behavior. </jats:p> 
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