Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland

<p>Seasonal forecasts for forestry have been developed in the Finnish Meteorological Institute in cooperation with Finnish end-users. Such forecasts could help forest companies in preparing for adverse conditions of timber harvesting operations. Bearing capacity for harvesting operations...

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Main Authors: O. Hyvärinen, A. Venäläinen, A. Vajda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-04-01
Series:Advances in Science and Research
Online Access:https://www.adv-sci-res.net/17/23/2020/asr-17-23-2020.pdf
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spelling doaj-fcd18bd3826948f8bc055eb2b8a731142020-11-25T02:01:46ZengCopernicus PublicationsAdvances in Science and Research1992-06281992-06362020-04-0117232710.5194/asr-17-23-2020Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in FinlandO. HyvärinenA. VenäläinenA. Vajda<p>Seasonal forecasts for forestry have been developed in the Finnish Meteorological Institute in cooperation with Finnish end-users. Such forecasts could help forest companies in preparing for adverse conditions of timber harvesting operations. Bearing capacity for harvesting operations is dependent on soil moisture, and skillful forecasts have potentially large economic value. Using the ECMWF seasonal forecasts, we evaluated the monthly mean soil moisture forecasts for four different start months, with lead times from 0 to 2 months. Forecasts were bias adjusted, and showed skill in the first month for all four months. After the first lead month, winter months fared a bit better than summer months.</p>https://www.adv-sci-res.net/17/23/2020/asr-17-23-2020.pdf
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author O. Hyvärinen
A. Venäläinen
A. Vajda
spellingShingle O. Hyvärinen
A. Venäläinen
A. Vajda
Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland
Advances in Science and Research
author_facet O. Hyvärinen
A. Venäläinen
A. Vajda
author_sort O. Hyvärinen
title Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland
title_short Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland
title_full Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland
title_fullStr Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland
title_full_unstemmed Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland
title_sort bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in finland
publisher Copernicus Publications
series Advances in Science and Research
issn 1992-0628
1992-0636
publishDate 2020-04-01
description <p>Seasonal forecasts for forestry have been developed in the Finnish Meteorological Institute in cooperation with Finnish end-users. Such forecasts could help forest companies in preparing for adverse conditions of timber harvesting operations. Bearing capacity for harvesting operations is dependent on soil moisture, and skillful forecasts have potentially large economic value. Using the ECMWF seasonal forecasts, we evaluated the monthly mean soil moisture forecasts for four different start months, with lead times from 0 to 2 months. Forecasts were bias adjusted, and showed skill in the first month for all four months. After the first lead month, winter months fared a bit better than summer months.</p>
url https://www.adv-sci-res.net/17/23/2020/asr-17-23-2020.pdf
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AT avenalainen biasadjustedseasonalforecastsofsoilmoistureforforestryapplicationsinfinland
AT avajda biasadjustedseasonalforecastsofsoilmoistureforforestryapplicationsinfinland
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