Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models

Approaches for predicting financial markets, including conventional statistical methods and recent deep learning methods, have been investigated in many studies. However, financial time series data (e.g., daily stock market index) contain noises that prevent stable predictive model learning. Using t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Donghwan Song, Adrian Matias Chung Baek, Namhun Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2021-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9446858/
id doaj-f31e10a6c6494a98a4540c25b8c17bde
record_format Article
spelling doaj-f31e10a6c6494a98a4540c25b8c17bde2021-06-14T23:00:21ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362021-01-019837868379610.1109/ACCESS.2021.30865379446858Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning ModelsDonghwan Song0Adrian Matias Chung Baek1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4372-1866Namhun Kim2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4429-2191Department of System Design and Control Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, South KoreaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, South KoreaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, South KoreaApproaches for predicting financial markets, including conventional statistical methods and recent deep learning methods, have been investigated in many studies. However, financial time series data (e.g., daily stock market index) contain noises that prevent stable predictive model learning. Using these noised data in predictions results in performance deterioration and time lag. This study proposes padding-based Fourier transform denoising (P-FTD) that eliminates the noise waveform in the frequency domain of financial time series data and solves the problem of data divergence at both ends when restoring to the original time series. Experiments were conducted to predict the closing prices of S&P500, SSE, and KOSPI by applying data, from which noise was removed by P-FTD, to different deep learning models based on time series. Results show that the combination of the deep learning models and the proposed denoising technique not only outperforms the basic models in terms of predictive performance but also mitigates the time lag problem.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9446858/Deep learningdenoising frameworkFourier transformstock index predictiontime series
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Donghwan Song
Adrian Matias Chung Baek
Namhun Kim
spellingShingle Donghwan Song
Adrian Matias Chung Baek
Namhun Kim
Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models
IEEE Access
Deep learning
denoising framework
Fourier transform
stock index prediction
time series
author_facet Donghwan Song
Adrian Matias Chung Baek
Namhun Kim
author_sort Donghwan Song
title Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models
title_short Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models
title_full Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models
title_fullStr Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Stock Market Indices Using Padding-Based Fourier Transform Denoising and Time Series Deep Learning Models
title_sort forecasting stock market indices using padding-based fourier transform denoising and time series deep learning models
publisher IEEE
series IEEE Access
issn 2169-3536
publishDate 2021-01-01
description Approaches for predicting financial markets, including conventional statistical methods and recent deep learning methods, have been investigated in many studies. However, financial time series data (e.g., daily stock market index) contain noises that prevent stable predictive model learning. Using these noised data in predictions results in performance deterioration and time lag. This study proposes padding-based Fourier transform denoising (P-FTD) that eliminates the noise waveform in the frequency domain of financial time series data and solves the problem of data divergence at both ends when restoring to the original time series. Experiments were conducted to predict the closing prices of S&P500, SSE, and KOSPI by applying data, from which noise was removed by P-FTD, to different deep learning models based on time series. Results show that the combination of the deep learning models and the proposed denoising technique not only outperforms the basic models in terms of predictive performance but also mitigates the time lag problem.
topic Deep learning
denoising framework
Fourier transform
stock index prediction
time series
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9446858/
work_keys_str_mv AT donghwansong forecastingstockmarketindicesusingpaddingbasedfouriertransformdenoisingandtimeseriesdeeplearningmodels
AT adrianmatiaschungbaek forecastingstockmarketindicesusingpaddingbasedfouriertransformdenoisingandtimeseriesdeeplearningmodels
AT namhunkim forecastingstockmarketindicesusingpaddingbasedfouriertransformdenoisingandtimeseriesdeeplearningmodels
_version_ 1721377868129239040