Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate

Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate

Abstract Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of heat extremes that would be virtually impossible without anthropogenic global warmin...

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Main Authors: Alexander Robinson, Jascha Lehmann, David Barriopedro, Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2021-10-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w
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spelling doaj-f0e46a4fc47046fd83edafd590fbb1fc2021-10-10T11:36:39ZengNature Publishing Groupnpj Climate and Atmospheric Science2397-37222021-10-01411410.1038/s41612-021-00202-wIncreasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climateAlexander Robinson0Jascha Lehmann1David Barriopedro2Stefan Rahmstorf3Dim Coumou4Complutense University of MadridPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact ResearchInstituto de Geociencias, CSIC-UCMPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact ResearchPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact ResearchAbstract Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of heat extremes that would be virtually impossible without anthropogenic global warming. Also, record rainfall extremes have continued to increase worldwide and, on average, 1 in 4 rainfall records in the last decade can be attributed to climate change. Tropical regions, comprised of vulnerable countries that typically contributed least to anthropogenic climate change, continue to see the strongest increase in extremes.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Alexander Robinson
Jascha Lehmann
David Barriopedro
Stefan Rahmstorf
Dim Coumou
spellingShingle Alexander Robinson
Jascha Lehmann
David Barriopedro
Stefan Rahmstorf
Dim Coumou
Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
author_facet Alexander Robinson
Jascha Lehmann
David Barriopedro
Stefan Rahmstorf
Dim Coumou
author_sort Alexander Robinson
title Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
title_short Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
title_full Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
title_fullStr Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
title_full_unstemmed Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
title_sort increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
publisher Nature Publishing Group
series npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
issn 2397-3722
publishDate 2021-10-01
description Abstract Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of heat extremes that would be virtually impossible without anthropogenic global warming. Also, record rainfall extremes have continued to increase worldwide and, on average, 1 in 4 rainfall records in the last decade can be attributed to climate change. Tropical regions, comprised of vulnerable countries that typically contributed least to anthropogenic climate change, continue to see the strongest increase in extremes.
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w
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AT dimcoumou increasingheatandrainfallextremesnowfaroutsidethehistoricalclimate
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