Optimism Bias Evaluation and Decision-Making Risk Forecast on Bridge Project Cost Based on Reference Class Forecasting: Evidence from China

The high uncertainty of megaproject results in increasing complexity in the decision-making and ultimately leads to different degrees of cost overrun and project delays. One of the critical reasons for cost overrun and delay is the optimism bias of decision makers. Although the previous literature h...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Huimin Liu, Canhui Jiang, Yan Liu, Marcel Hertogh, Xue Lyu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-10-01
Series:Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/11/3981