Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France
A model has been developed in order to estimate insurance-related losses caused by coastal flooding in France. The deterministic part of the model aims at identifying the potentially flood-impacted sectors and the subsequent insured losses a few days after the occurrence of a storm surge event on an...
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2016-01-01
|
Series: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
Online Access: | http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/16/195/2016/nhess-16-195-2016.pdf |
id |
doaj-ecdf6a8acbcb4742a5ff9ef7c8a03c95 |
---|---|
record_format |
Article |
spelling |
doaj-ecdf6a8acbcb4742a5ff9ef7c8a03c952020-11-24T22:00:33ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812016-01-0116119520710.5194/nhess-16-195-2016Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in FranceJ. P. Naulin0D. Moncoulon1S. Le Roy2R. Pedreros3D. Idier4C. Oliveros5CCR, 157 bd. Haussmann, 75008 Paris, FranceCCR, 157 bd. Haussmann, 75008 Paris, FranceBRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans, FranceBRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans, FranceBRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans, FranceBRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans, FranceA model has been developed in order to estimate insurance-related losses caused by coastal flooding in France. The deterministic part of the model aims at identifying the potentially flood-impacted sectors and the subsequent insured losses a few days after the occurrence of a storm surge event on any part of the French coast. This deterministic component is a combination of three models: a hazard model, a vulnerability model, and a damage model. The first model uses the PREVIMER system to estimate the water level resulting from the simultaneous occurrence of a high tide and a surge caused by a meteorological event along the coast. A storage-cell flood model propagates these water levels over the land and thus determines the probable inundated areas. The vulnerability model, for its part, is derived from the insurance schedules and claims database, combining information such as risk type, class of business, and insured values. The outcome of the vulnerability and hazard models are then combined with the damage model to estimate the event damage and potential insured losses. This system shows satisfactory results in the estimation of the magnitude of the known losses related to the flood caused by the Xynthia storm. However, it also appears very sensitive to the water height estimated during the flood period, conditioned by the junction between seawater levels and coastal topography, the accuracy for which is still limited by the amount of information in the system.http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/16/195/2016/nhess-16-195-2016.pdf |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
J. P. Naulin D. Moncoulon S. Le Roy R. Pedreros D. Idier C. Oliveros |
spellingShingle |
J. P. Naulin D. Moncoulon S. Le Roy R. Pedreros D. Idier C. Oliveros Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
author_facet |
J. P. Naulin D. Moncoulon S. Le Roy R. Pedreros D. Idier C. Oliveros |
author_sort |
J. P. Naulin |
title |
Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France |
title_short |
Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France |
title_full |
Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France |
title_fullStr |
Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in France |
title_sort |
estimation of insurance-related losses resulting from coastal flooding in france |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
series |
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
issn |
1561-8633 1684-9981 |
publishDate |
2016-01-01 |
description |
A model has been developed in order to estimate insurance-related losses
caused by coastal flooding in France. The deterministic part of the model
aims at identifying the potentially flood-impacted sectors and the
subsequent insured losses a few days after the occurrence of a storm surge
event on any part of the French coast. This deterministic component is a
combination of three models: a hazard model, a vulnerability model, and a
damage model. The first model uses the PREVIMER system to estimate the water
level resulting from the simultaneous occurrence of a high tide and a surge
caused by a meteorological event along the coast. A storage-cell flood model
propagates these water levels over the land and thus determines the probable
inundated areas. The vulnerability model, for its part, is derived from the
insurance schedules and claims database, combining information such as risk
type, class of business, and insured values. The outcome of the vulnerability
and hazard models are then combined with the damage model to estimate the
event damage and potential insured losses. This system shows satisfactory
results in the estimation of the magnitude of the known losses related to
the flood caused by the Xynthia storm. However, it also appears very
sensitive to the water height estimated during the flood period, conditioned
by the junction between seawater levels and coastal topography, the
accuracy for which is still limited by the amount of information in the system. |
url |
http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/16/195/2016/nhess-16-195-2016.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT jpnaulin estimationofinsurancerelatedlossesresultingfromcoastalfloodinginfrance AT dmoncoulon estimationofinsurancerelatedlossesresultingfromcoastalfloodinginfrance AT sleroy estimationofinsurancerelatedlossesresultingfromcoastalfloodinginfrance AT rpedreros estimationofinsurancerelatedlossesresultingfromcoastalfloodinginfrance AT didier estimationofinsurancerelatedlossesresultingfromcoastalfloodinginfrance AT coliveros estimationofinsurancerelatedlossesresultingfromcoastalfloodinginfrance |
_version_ |
1725843920052551680 |