The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) Phase 2: scientific objectives and experimental design
The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) is a co-ordinated international climate modelling initiative to study and understand climate and environments of the Late Pliocene, as well as their potential relevance in the context of future climate change. PlioMIP examines the consistency of m...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2016-03-01
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Series: | Climate of the Past |
Online Access: | http://www.clim-past.net/12/663/2016/cp-12-663-2016.pdf |
Summary: | The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) is a co-ordinated
international climate modelling initiative to study and understand climate
and environments of the Late Pliocene, as well as their potential relevance in the
context of future climate change. PlioMIP examines the consistency of model
predictions in simulating Pliocene climate and their ability to reproduce
climate signals preserved by geological climate archives. Here we provide a
description of the aim and objectives of the next phase of the model
intercomparison project (PlioMIP Phase 2), and we present the experimental
design and boundary conditions that will be utilized for climate model
experiments in Phase 2.
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Following on from PlioMIP Phase 1, Phase 2 will continue to be a mechanism
for sampling structural uncertainty within climate models. However, Phase 1
demonstrated the requirement to better understand boundary condition
uncertainties as well as uncertainty in the methodologies used for
data–model comparison. Therefore, our strategy for Phase 2 is to utilize
state-of-the-art boundary conditions that have emerged over the last 5
years. These include a new palaeogeographic reconstruction, detailing ocean
bathymetry and land–ice surface topography. The ice surface topography is
built upon the lessons learned from offline ice sheet modelling studies.
Land surface cover has been enhanced by recent additions of Pliocene soils
and lakes. Atmospheric reconstructions of palaeo-CO<sub>2</sub> are emerging on
orbital timescales, and these are also incorporated into PlioMIP Phase 2. New
records of surface and sea surface temperature change are being produced
that will be more temporally consistent with the boundary conditions and
forcings used within models.
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Finally we have designed a suite of prioritized experiments that tackle
issues surrounding the basic understanding of the Pliocene and its relevance
in the context of future climate change in a discrete way. |
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ISSN: | 1814-9324 1814-9332 |