Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova)
Vulnerability to climate change of the Moldavian part of the Dniester river was assessed as the function of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of its basin’s natural and socioeconomic systems. As a spatial “scale” of the assessment, Moldova’s administrative-territorial units (ATUs) were se...
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doaj-e7a85f464e3740569b9257c4f248ec5f2020-11-24T22:09:54ZengHindawi LimitedThe Scientific World Journal1537-744X2013-01-01201310.1155/2013/173794173794Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova)Roman Corobov0Igor Sîrodoev1Sonja Koeppel2Nickolai Denisov3Ghennadi Sîrodoev4Eco-TIRAS International Environmental Association, 11A Teatrala Street, 2012 Chisinau, MoldovaUniversity of Bucharest, Interdisciplinary Center of Advanced Researches on Territorial Dynamics, 4-12 Regina Elisabeta Boulevard, 030018 Bucharest, RomaniaUnited Nations Economic Commission for Europe, Palace des Nations, 8-14 Avenue de Paix, 1211 Geneva 10, SwitzerlandZOI Environment Network, International Environment House II, 9, Chemin de Balexert, Châtelaine, 1219 Geneva, SwitzerlandInstitute of Ecology and Geography, Moldavian Academy of Sciences, 1 Academiei Street, 2028 Chisinau, MoldovaVulnerability to climate change of the Moldavian part of the Dniester river was assessed as the function of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of its basin’s natural and socioeconomic systems. As a spatial “scale” of the assessment, Moldova’s administrative-territorial units (ATUs) were selected. The exposure assessment was based on the climatic analysis of baseline (1971–2000) temperature and precipitation and projections of their changes in 2021–2050, separately for cold and warm periods. The sensitivity assessment included physiographical and socioeconomic characteristics, described by a set of specific indicators. The adaptive capacity was expressed by general economic and agricultural indicators, taking into consideration the medical provision and housing conditions. Through a ranking approach, the relative vulnerability of each ATU was calculated by summing its sensitivity and adaptive capacity ranks; the latter were obtained as combinations of their primary indicator ranks, arranged in an increasing and decreasing order, respectively. Due to lack of sound knowledge on these components' importance in overall assessment of vulnerability, their weights were taken as conventionally equal. Mapping of vulnerability revealed that ATUs neighboring to municipalities are the most vulnerable and need special attention in climate change adaptation. The basin’s “hotspots” were discussed with public participation.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/173794 |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Roman Corobov Igor Sîrodoev Sonja Koeppel Nickolai Denisov Ghennadi Sîrodoev |
spellingShingle |
Roman Corobov Igor Sîrodoev Sonja Koeppel Nickolai Denisov Ghennadi Sîrodoev Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova) The Scientific World Journal |
author_facet |
Roman Corobov Igor Sîrodoev Sonja Koeppel Nickolai Denisov Ghennadi Sîrodoev |
author_sort |
Roman Corobov |
title |
Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova) |
title_short |
Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova) |
title_full |
Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova) |
title_fullStr |
Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability at the Local Level: A Case Study on the Dniester River Basin (Moldova) |
title_sort |
assessment of climate change vulnerability at the local level: a case study on the dniester river basin (moldova) |
publisher |
Hindawi Limited |
series |
The Scientific World Journal |
issn |
1537-744X |
publishDate |
2013-01-01 |
description |
Vulnerability to climate change of the Moldavian part of the Dniester river was assessed as the function of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of its basin’s natural and socioeconomic systems. As a spatial “scale” of the assessment, Moldova’s administrative-territorial units (ATUs) were selected. The exposure assessment was based on the climatic analysis of baseline (1971–2000) temperature and precipitation and projections of their changes in 2021–2050, separately for cold and warm periods. The sensitivity assessment included physiographical and socioeconomic characteristics, described by a set of specific indicators. The adaptive capacity was expressed by general economic and agricultural indicators, taking into consideration the medical provision and housing conditions. Through a ranking approach, the relative vulnerability of each ATU was calculated by summing its sensitivity and adaptive capacity ranks; the latter were obtained as combinations of their primary indicator ranks, arranged in an increasing and decreasing order, respectively. Due to lack of sound knowledge on these components' importance in overall assessment of vulnerability, their weights were taken as conventionally equal. Mapping of vulnerability revealed that ATUs neighboring to municipalities are the most vulnerable and need special attention in climate change adaptation. The basin’s “hotspots” were discussed with public participation. |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/173794 |
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