STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION

The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The...

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Main Authors: Natalia S. Eremeeva, Tatiana V. Lebedeva
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics 2016-08-01
Series:Statistika i Èkonomika
Subjects:
Online Access:https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001
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spelling doaj-e33975a303584407a59ac12ebc1f3e282021-07-28T21:19:59ZrusPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsStatistika i Èkonomika2500-39252016-08-010216817210.21686/2500-3925-2015-2-168-1721000STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGIONNatalia S. Eremeeva0Tatiana V. Lebedeva1Orenburg stateUniversity (OSU)Orenburg state University (OSU)The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The identified factors and their estimated impact on the dynamics of the total fertility rateat the beginning of the ascending phase of cycle(2004-2012). Developed factor forecast andforecast univariate time series.https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001общий коэффициент рождаемостиспектральный анализмоде лирование динамикикорреляционный и рег рессионный анализкоинтеграцияпрогнозthe total fertility ratespectralanalysismodelingdynamicscorrelation andregression analysiscointegrationforecasting
collection DOAJ
language Russian
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Natalia S. Eremeeva
Tatiana V. Lebedeva
spellingShingle Natalia S. Eremeeva
Tatiana V. Lebedeva
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
Statistika i Èkonomika
общий коэффициент рождаемости
спектральный анализ
моде лирование динамики
корреляционный и рег рессионный анализ
коинтеграция
прогноз
the total fertility rate
spectralanalysis
modeling
dynamics
correlation andregression analysis
cointegration
forecasting
author_facet Natalia S. Eremeeva
Tatiana V. Lebedeva
author_sort Natalia S. Eremeeva
title STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
title_short STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
title_full STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
title_fullStr STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
title_full_unstemmed STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
title_sort statistical analysis of the dynamics and forecasting fertility in the orenburg region
publisher Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
series Statistika i Èkonomika
issn 2500-3925
publishDate 2016-08-01
description The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The identified factors and their estimated impact on the dynamics of the total fertility rateat the beginning of the ascending phase of cycle(2004-2012). Developed factor forecast andforecast univariate time series.
topic общий коэффициент рождаемости
спектральный анализ
моде лирование динамики
корреляционный и рег рессионный анализ
коинтеграция
прогноз
the total fertility rate
spectralanalysis
modeling
dynamics
correlation andregression analysis
cointegration
forecasting
url https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001
work_keys_str_mv AT nataliaseremeeva statisticalanalysisofthedynamicsandforecastingfertilityintheorenburgregion
AT tatianavlebedeva statisticalanalysisofthedynamicsandforecastingfertilityintheorenburgregion
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