The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]
The Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis was launched in 2000 to eliminate lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem by 1) interrupting transmission through mass drug administration (MDA) and 2) offering basic care to those suffering from lymphoedema or hydrocele due to the...
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doaj-d7510f10d01d4a45aa61309f1bb198772020-11-25T03:56:33ZengF1000 Research LtdGates Open Research2572-47542019-09-01310.12688/gatesopenres.13065.114196The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis GroupThe Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis was launched in 2000 to eliminate lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem by 1) interrupting transmission through mass drug administration (MDA) and 2) offering basic care to those suffering from lymphoedema or hydrocele due to the infection. Although impressive progress has been made, the initial target year of 2020 will not be met everywhere. The World Health Organization recently proposed 2030 as the new target year for elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem. In this letter, LF modelers of the Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs) Modelling Consortium reflect on the proposed targets for 2030 from a quantitative perspective. While elimination as a public health problem seems technically and operationally feasible, it is uncertain whether this will eventually also lead to complete elimination of transmission. The risk of resurgence needs to be mitigated by strong surveillance after stopping interventions and sometimes perhaps additional interventions.https://gatesopenresearch.org/articles/3-1538/v1 |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis Group |
spellingShingle |
NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis Group The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] Gates Open Research |
author_facet |
NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis Group |
author_sort |
NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis Group |
title |
The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] |
title_short |
The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] |
title_full |
The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] |
title_fullStr |
The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] |
title_full_unstemmed |
The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] |
title_sort |
roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 2 approved] |
publisher |
F1000 Research Ltd |
series |
Gates Open Research |
issn |
2572-4754 |
publishDate |
2019-09-01 |
description |
The Global Programme to Eliminate Lymphatic Filariasis was launched in 2000 to eliminate lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem by 1) interrupting transmission through mass drug administration (MDA) and 2) offering basic care to those suffering from lymphoedema or hydrocele due to the infection. Although impressive progress has been made, the initial target year of 2020 will not be met everywhere. The World Health Organization recently proposed 2030 as the new target year for elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) as a public health problem. In this letter, LF modelers of the Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs) Modelling Consortium reflect on the proposed targets for 2030 from a quantitative perspective. While elimination as a public health problem seems technically and operationally feasible, it is uncertain whether this will eventually also lead to complete elimination of transmission. The risk of resurgence needs to be mitigated by strong surveillance after stopping interventions and sometimes perhaps additional interventions. |
url |
https://gatesopenresearch.org/articles/3-1538/v1 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT ntdmodellingconsortiumlymphaticfilariasisgroup theroadmaptowardseliminationoflymphaticfilariasisby2030insightsfromquantitativeandmathematicalmodellingversion1peerreview2approved AT ntdmodellingconsortiumlymphaticfilariasisgroup roadmaptowardseliminationoflymphaticfilariasisby2030insightsfromquantitativeandmathematicalmodellingversion1peerreview2approved |
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