Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia

Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia

The article presents the author’s concept of demographic forecasting, which argues that GDP, other macroeconomic and socio-economic (level of life) processes and indices do matter. The purpose of the article is to demonstrate the possibilities of publicly available (which are part of standard mathem...

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Main Author: Aleksey Kashepov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics 2018-12-01
Series:Население и экономика
Online Access:https://populationandeconomics.pensoft.net/article/36063/download/pdf/
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spelling doaj-d6db20b7adc74b6fa7bd0250a555e0e42020-11-25T02:06:04ZengMoscow State University, Faculty of EconomicsНаселение и экономика2658-37982018-12-012416118610.3897/popecon.2.e3606336063Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in RussiaAleksey Kashepov0Institute for Macroeconomic Studies Under the Ministry of Economic Development of RussiaThe article presents the author’s concept of demographic forecasting, which argues that GDP, other macroeconomic and socio-economic (level of life) processes and indices do matter. The purpose of the article is to demonstrate the possibilities of publicly available (which are part of standard mathematic and statistical programs) methods of mathematical statistics to identify economic factors of population reproduction and fertility in particular. The article justifies the possibility of forecasting the total fertility rate (TFR) on the basis of macroeconomic forecasts of the dynamics of the gross national product (GDP) and other key economic indicators.https://populationandeconomics.pensoft.net/article/36063/download/pdf/
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Aleksey Kashepov
spellingShingle Aleksey Kashepov
Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia
Население и экономика
author_facet Aleksey Kashepov
author_sort Aleksey Kashepov
title Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia
title_short Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia
title_full Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia
title_fullStr Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia
title_full_unstemmed Economic determinants of fertility forecasting in Russia
title_sort economic determinants of fertility forecasting in russia
publisher Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics
series Население и экономика
issn 2658-3798
publishDate 2018-12-01
description The article presents the author’s concept of demographic forecasting, which argues that GDP, other macroeconomic and socio-economic (level of life) processes and indices do matter. The purpose of the article is to demonstrate the possibilities of publicly available (which are part of standard mathematic and statistical programs) methods of mathematical statistics to identify economic factors of population reproduction and fertility in particular. The article justifies the possibility of forecasting the total fertility rate (TFR) on the basis of macroeconomic forecasts of the dynamics of the gross national product (GDP) and other key economic indicators.
url https://populationandeconomics.pensoft.net/article/36063/download/pdf/
work_keys_str_mv AT alekseykashepov economicdeterminantsoffertilityforecastinginrussia
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