Accuracy Assessment of Thermoacoustic Instability Models Using Binary Classification

We apply binary classification theory to assess the (in)stability prediction accuracy of thermoacoustic models. It is shown that by applying such methods to compare a large set of stability predictions and experiments it is possible to gain valuable qualitative insight in different aspects of predic...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Maarten Hoeijmakers, Ines Lopez Arteaga, Viktor Kornilov, Henk Nijmeijer, Philip de Goey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2013-09-01
Series:International Journal of Spray and Combustion Dynamics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1260/1756-8277.5.3.201
Description
Summary:We apply binary classification theory to assess the (in)stability prediction accuracy of thermoacoustic models. It is shown that by applying such methods to compare a large set of stability predictions and experiments it is possible to gain valuable qualitative insight in different aspects of prediction quality. The approach is illustrated with a 2-port model and a large experimental data set. The presented framework provides an unified and practical tool to answer questions such as (i) What is the chance that a stable prediction will be correct? and (ii) How conservative is the model? It is shown that the most suitable quality indicator is strongly dependent on the actual purpose of the model. The method provides a solid starting point for model comparison and optimization.
ISSN:1756-8277
1756-8285