Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter

This paper compares the time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter techniques to estimate the Brazilian money demand between 1996 and 2015. The estimation using Kalman filtering performs better and is subsequently used to calculate the welfare cost of inflation. Taking into consideration the...

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Main Authors: Eduardo Lima Campos, Rubens Penha Cysne
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2020-05-01
Series:Economia Aplicada
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/141132
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spelling doaj-bd7f3874599f4b7cb482869b8ad617302020-11-25T03:43:20ZporUniversidade de São PauloEconomia Aplicada1413-80501980-53302020-05-0123110.11606/1980-5330/ea141132Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filterEduardo Lima CamposRubens Penha Cysne This paper compares the time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter techniques to estimate the Brazilian money demand between 1996 and 2015. The estimation using Kalman filtering performs better and is subsequently used to calculate the welfare cost of inflation. Taking into consideration the time variability of the interest-rate elasticity during the period, the average welfare cost amounts to 0.24% of the GDP, for an average annual inflation of 6.63%. http://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/141132welfare cost of inflationmoney demandcointegrationKalman filter
collection DOAJ
language Portuguese
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Eduardo Lima Campos
Rubens Penha Cysne
spellingShingle Eduardo Lima Campos
Rubens Penha Cysne
Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter
Economia Aplicada
welfare cost of inflation
money demand
cointegration
Kalman filter
author_facet Eduardo Lima Campos
Rubens Penha Cysne
author_sort Eduardo Lima Campos
title Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter
title_short Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter
title_full Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter
title_fullStr Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter
title_full_unstemmed Welfare cost of inflation in Brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and Kalman filter
title_sort welfare cost of inflation in brazil: an approach with time-varying cointegration and kalman filter
publisher Universidade de São Paulo
series Economia Aplicada
issn 1413-8050
1980-5330
publishDate 2020-05-01
description This paper compares the time-varying cointegration and the Kalman filter techniques to estimate the Brazilian money demand between 1996 and 2015. The estimation using Kalman filtering performs better and is subsequently used to calculate the welfare cost of inflation. Taking into consideration the time variability of the interest-rate elasticity during the period, the average welfare cost amounts to 0.24% of the GDP, for an average annual inflation of 6.63%.
topic welfare cost of inflation
money demand
cointegration
Kalman filter
url http://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/141132
work_keys_str_mv AT eduardolimacampos welfarecostofinflationinbrazilanapproachwithtimevaryingcointegrationandkalmanfilter
AT rubenspenhacysne welfarecostofinflationinbrazilanapproachwithtimevaryingcointegrationandkalmanfilter
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