Economic Adjustment of Default Probabilities

This paper proposes a straightforward and intuitive computational mechanism for the economic adjustment of default probabilities, allowing the extension of the original (usually one-year) probability of default estimates for more than one period ahead. The intensity of economic adjustment can be fle...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tomáš Vaněk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mendel University, Brno 2016-12-01
Series:European Journal of Business Science and Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ejobsat.cz/artkey/ejo-201602-0003_economic-adjustment-of-default-probabilities.php
Description
Summary:This paper proposes a straightforward and intuitive computational mechanism for the economic adjustment of default probabilities, allowing the extension of the original (usually one-year) probability of default estimates for more than one period ahead. The intensity of economic adjustment can be flexibly modified by setting the appropriate weighting parameter. The proposed mechanism is designed to be useful especially in the context of lifetime expected credit losses calculation within the IFRS 9 requirements.
ISSN:2336-6494
2694-7161