Improving Density Estimation by Incorporating Spatial Information

Given discrete event data, we wish to produce a probability density that can model the relative probability of events occurring in a spatial region. Common methods of density estimation, such as Kernel Density Estimation, do not incorporate geographical information. Using these methods could result...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Andrea L. Bertozzi, George O. Mohler, Todd Wittman, Matthew S. Keegan, Laura M. Smith
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2010-01-01
Series:EURASIP Journal on Advances in Signal Processing
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/265631
Description
Summary:Given discrete event data, we wish to produce a probability density that can model the relative probability of events occurring in a spatial region. Common methods of density estimation, such as Kernel Density Estimation, do not incorporate geographical information. Using these methods could result in nonnegligible portions of the support of the density in unrealistic geographic locations. For example, crime density estimation models that do not take geographic information into account may predict events in unlikely places such as oceans, mountains, and so forth. We propose a set of Maximum Penalized Likelihood Estimation methods based on Total Variation and H1 Sobolev norm regularizers in conjunction with a priori high resolution spatial data to obtain more geographically accurate density estimates. We apply this method to a residential burglary data set of the San Fernando Valley using geographic features obtained from satellite images of the region and housing density information.
ISSN:1687-6172
1687-6180