COUNTRY RISK ASSESSMENT USING DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS

The purpose of this study is to ident(fy the economic and financial variables which affect a country s credit ·worthiness. Once the lariables are ident(fied, a model is developed using discriminant analysis to separate the forty developing countries used in this study into three spec(fic risk catego...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mohammed Haque
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: People & Global Business Association (P&GBA) 1996-09-01
Series:Global Business and Finance Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.gbfrjournal.org/pds/journal/thesis/20150626021516-Z9CO0.pdf
Description
Summary:The purpose of this study is to ident(fy the economic and financial variables which affect a country s credit ·worthiness. Once the lariables are ident(fied, a model is developed using discriminant analysis to separate the forty developing countries used in this study into three spec(fic risk categories: (1) low risk, (2) medium risk, and (3) high risk. Several.financialandeconomicvariablesaretested,butonlysixwereconsideredsignificantenoughtobeused in the model. These six variables are gross national product per capita, debt service ratio, export, import, debt outstanding and disbursed as a percentage of GNP and, finally, international reserve to debt outstanding.
ISSN:1088-6931
2384-1648