Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts and Underdispersion in High-Resolution Ensemble Forecasting with a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme

Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts and Underdispersion in High-Resolution Ensemble Forecasting with a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme

ABSTRACT: This study evaluates ensemble forecasts with a stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme (SKEBS) to predict tropical cyclone (TC) genesis and also to characterize the related ensemble underdispersion. Several sets of ensemble forecasts are generated using an advanced research version of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Levi Thatcher, Zhaoxia Pu
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2014-12-01
Series:	Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Online Access:	http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603218301127

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