Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea
The coasts of the Mediterranean Sea are dynamic habitats in which human activities have been conducted for centuries and which feature micro-tidal environments with about 0.40 m of range. For this reason, human settlements are still concentrated along a narrow coastline strip, where any change in th...
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MDPI AG
2020-08-01
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/8/2173 |
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doaj-ae30d2c160e847ccadb24b6ce13de3312020-11-25T03:12:27ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412020-08-01122173217310.3390/w12082173Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean SeaFabrizio Antonioli0Giovanni De Falco1Valeria Lo Presti2Lorenzo Moretti3Giovanni Scardino4Marco Anzidei5Davide Bonaldo6Sandro Carniel7Gabriele Leoni8Stefano Furlani9Antonella Marsico10Marcello Petitta11Giovanni Randazzo12Giovanni Scicchitano13Giuseppe Mastronuzzi14Associated Researcher Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, 00143 Rome, ItalyInstitute of Anthropic Impacts and Sustainability in Marine Environment—IAS CNR, 09170 Oristano, ItalyStudio Tecnico, 90142 Palermo, ItalyENEA, 40129 Bologna, 00123 Rome, ItalyDepartment of Earth and Geoenvironmental Sciences, University of Bari, 70125 Bari, ItalyNational Institute of Geopysics and Volcanomology, 00143 Rome, ItalyNational Research Council, Institute of Marine Sciences (CNR-ISMAR), 30122 Venice, ItalyNational Research Council, Institute of Polar Science (CNR-ISP), 30122 Venice, ItalyISPRA, 00144 Roma, ItalyDepartment of Mathematics and Geosciences, University of Trieste, 34125 Trieste, ItalyDepartment of Earth and Geoenvironmental Sciences, University of Bari, 70125 Bari, ItalyENEA, 40129 Bologna, 00123 Rome, ItalyDepartment of Mathematics, Pysics and Geosciences, MIFT, University of Messina, 98166 Messina, ItalyStudio Geologi Associati TST, 95129 Catania, ItalyDepartment of Earth and Geoenvironmental Sciences, University of Bari, 70125 Bari, ItalyThe coasts of the Mediterranean Sea are dynamic habitats in which human activities have been conducted for centuries and which feature micro-tidal environments with about 0.40 m of range. For this reason, human settlements are still concentrated along a narrow coastline strip, where any change in the sea level and coastal dynamics may impact anthropic activities. In the frame of the RITMARE and the Copernicus Projects, we analyzed light detection and ranging (LiDAR) and Copernicus Earth Observation data to provide estimates of potential marine submersion for 2100 for 16 small-sized coastal plains located in the Italian peninsula and four Mediterranean countries (France, Spain, Tunisia, Cyprus) all characterized by different geological, tectonic and morphological features. The objective of this multidisciplinary study is to provide the first maps of sea-level rise scenarios for 2100 for the IPCC RCP 8.5 and Rahmstorf (2007) projections for the above affected coastal zones, which are the locations of touristic resorts, railways, airports and heritage sites. On the basis of our model (eustatic projection for 2100, glaciohydrostasy values and tectonic vertical movement), we provide 16 high-definition submersion maps. We estimated a potential loss of land for the above areas of between about 148 km<sup>2</sup> (IPCC-RCP8.5 scenario) and 192 km<sup>2</sup> (Rahmstorf scenario), along a coastline length of about 400 km.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/8/2173Mediterranean Seacoastal plainsrelative sea-level rise2100marine submersion |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
English |
| format |
Article |
| sources |
DOAJ |
| author |
Fabrizio Antonioli Giovanni De Falco Valeria Lo Presti Lorenzo Moretti Giovanni Scardino Marco Anzidei Davide Bonaldo Sandro Carniel Gabriele Leoni Stefano Furlani Antonella Marsico Marcello Petitta Giovanni Randazzo Giovanni Scicchitano Giuseppe Mastronuzzi |
| spellingShingle |
Fabrizio Antonioli Giovanni De Falco Valeria Lo Presti Lorenzo Moretti Giovanni Scardino Marco Anzidei Davide Bonaldo Sandro Carniel Gabriele Leoni Stefano Furlani Antonella Marsico Marcello Petitta Giovanni Randazzo Giovanni Scicchitano Giuseppe Mastronuzzi Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea Water Mediterranean Sea coastal plains relative sea-level rise 2100 marine submersion |
| author_facet |
Fabrizio Antonioli Giovanni De Falco Valeria Lo Presti Lorenzo Moretti Giovanni Scardino Marco Anzidei Davide Bonaldo Sandro Carniel Gabriele Leoni Stefano Furlani Antonella Marsico Marcello Petitta Giovanni Randazzo Giovanni Scicchitano Giuseppe Mastronuzzi |
| author_sort |
Fabrizio Antonioli |
| title |
Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea |
| title_short |
Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea |
| title_full |
Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea |
| title_fullStr |
Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea |
| title_sort |
relative sea-level rise and potential submersion risk for 2100 on 16 coastal plains of the mediterranean sea |
| publisher |
MDPI AG |
| series |
Water |
| issn |
2073-4441 |
| publishDate |
2020-08-01 |
| description |
The coasts of the Mediterranean Sea are dynamic habitats in which human activities have been conducted for centuries and which feature micro-tidal environments with about 0.40 m of range. For this reason, human settlements are still concentrated along a narrow coastline strip, where any change in the sea level and coastal dynamics may impact anthropic activities. In the frame of the RITMARE and the Copernicus Projects, we analyzed light detection and ranging (LiDAR) and Copernicus Earth Observation data to provide estimates of potential marine submersion for 2100 for 16 small-sized coastal plains located in the Italian peninsula and four Mediterranean countries (France, Spain, Tunisia, Cyprus) all characterized by different geological, tectonic and morphological features. The objective of this multidisciplinary study is to provide the first maps of sea-level rise scenarios for 2100 for the IPCC RCP 8.5 and Rahmstorf (2007) projections for the above affected coastal zones, which are the locations of touristic resorts, railways, airports and heritage sites. On the basis of our model (eustatic projection for 2100, glaciohydrostasy values and tectonic vertical movement), we provide 16 high-definition submersion maps. We estimated a potential loss of land for the above areas of between about 148 km<sup>2</sup> (IPCC-RCP8.5 scenario) and 192 km<sup>2</sup> (Rahmstorf scenario), along a coastline length of about 400 km. |
| topic |
Mediterranean Sea coastal plains relative sea-level rise 2100 marine submersion |
| url |
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/8/2173 |
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