Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.

Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.

We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies ha...

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Main Authors: Maria Chikina, Wesley Pegden
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2020-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237
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spelling doaj-a7de1327e44345bda62f96678bf33bab2021-03-04T11:54:22ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032020-01-01157e023623710.1371/journal.pone.0236237Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.Maria ChikinaWesley PegdenWe use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Maria Chikina
Wesley Pegden
spellingShingle Maria Chikina
Wesley Pegden
Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.
PLoS ONE
author_facet Maria Chikina
Wesley Pegden
author_sort Maria Chikina
title Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.
title_short Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.
title_full Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.
title_fullStr Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.
title_full_unstemmed Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19.
title_sort modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for covid-19.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
series PLoS ONE
issn 1932-6203
publishDate 2020-01-01
description We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices.
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236237
work_keys_str_mv AT mariachikina modelingstrictagetargetedmitigationstrategiesforcovid19
AT wesleypegden modelingstrictagetargetedmitigationstrategiesforcovid19
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