Interpretations of systematic errors in the NCEP Climate Forecast System at lead times of 2, 4, 8, ..., 256 days

The climatology of mean bias errors (relative to 1-day forecasts) was examined in a 20-year hindcast set from version 1 of the Climate Forecast System (CFS), for forecast lead times of 2, 4, 8, 16, ... 256 days, verifying in different seasons. Results mostly confirm the simple expectation that atmos...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Siwon Song, Brian Mapes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2012-09-01
Series:Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.agu.org/journals/ms/ms1209/2011MS000094/