A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints
<p>One of the approaches to constrain uncertainty in climate models is the identification of emergent constraints. These are physically explainable empirical relationships between a particular simulated characteristic of the current climate and future climate change from an ensemble of cli...
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Copernicus Publications
2018-08-01
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| Series: | Earth System Dynamics |
| Online Access: | https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/9/999/2018/esd-9-999-2018.pdf |
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doaj-a265402d837a4ec493b4092e01946e5d2020-11-25T00:41:05ZengCopernicus PublicationsEarth System Dynamics2190-49792190-49872018-08-019999101210.5194/esd-9-999-2018A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraintsF. J. M. M. Nijsse0F. J. M. M. Nijsse1H. A. Dijkstra2H. A. Dijkstra3Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the NetherlandsCollege of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Science, University of Exeter, Exeter, UKInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the NetherlandsCenter for Complex Systems Science, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands<p>One of the approaches to constrain uncertainty in climate models is the identification of emergent constraints. These are physically explainable empirical relationships between a particular simulated characteristic of the current climate and future climate change from an ensemble of climate models, which can be exploited using current observations. In this paper, we develop a theory to understand the appearance of such emergent constraints. Based on this theory, we also propose a classification for emergent constraints, and applications are shown for several idealized climate models.</p>https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/9/999/2018/esd-9-999-2018.pdf |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
English |
| format |
Article |
| sources |
DOAJ |
| author |
F. J. M. M. Nijsse F. J. M. M. Nijsse H. A. Dijkstra H. A. Dijkstra |
| spellingShingle |
F. J. M. M. Nijsse F. J. M. M. Nijsse H. A. Dijkstra H. A. Dijkstra A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints Earth System Dynamics |
| author_facet |
F. J. M. M. Nijsse F. J. M. M. Nijsse H. A. Dijkstra H. A. Dijkstra |
| author_sort |
F. J. M. M. Nijsse |
| title |
A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints |
| title_short |
A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints |
| title_full |
A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints |
| title_fullStr |
A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints |
| title_full_unstemmed |
A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints |
| title_sort |
mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints |
| publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
| series |
Earth System Dynamics |
| issn |
2190-4979 2190-4987 |
| publishDate |
2018-08-01 |
| description |
<p>One of the
approaches to constrain uncertainty in climate models is the identification
of emergent constraints. These are physically explainable empirical
relationships between a particular simulated characteristic of the current
climate and future climate change from an ensemble of climate models, which
can be exploited using current observations. In this paper, we develop a
theory to understand the appearance of such emergent constraints. Based on
this theory, we also propose a classification for emergent constraints, and
applications are shown for several idealized climate models.</p> |
| url |
https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/9/999/2018/esd-9-999-2018.pdf |
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1725287237022646272 |