A mathematical approach to understanding emergent constraints
<p>One of the approaches to constrain uncertainty in climate models is the identification of emergent constraints. These are physically explainable empirical relationships between a particular simulated characteristic of the current climate and future climate change from an ensemble of cli...
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2018-08-01
|
| Series: | Earth System Dynamics |
| Online Access: | https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/9/999/2018/esd-9-999-2018.pdf |
| Summary: | <p>One of the
approaches to constrain uncertainty in climate models is the identification
of emergent constraints. These are physically explainable empirical
relationships between a particular simulated characteristic of the current
climate and future climate change from an ensemble of climate models, which
can be exploited using current observations. In this paper, we develop a
theory to understand the appearance of such emergent constraints. Based on
this theory, we also propose a classification for emergent constraints, and
applications are shown for several idealized climate models.</p> |
|---|---|
| ISSN: | 2190-4979 2190-4987 |