A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay

A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay

The formulation of a systems dynamics model which was applied to obtain forecasts of important urban variables such as population and housing, is discussed. It is shown that the model simulated the growth trends in the town, at least for the period for which data was available, satisfactorily. A sen...

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Main Author: M.J. Joubert
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Operations Research Society of South Africa (ORSSA) 2003-12-01
Series:ORiON
Online Access:http://orion.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/513
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spelling doaj-a198567d57bb4c94b602eff6bf492d1f2020-11-24T23:51:04ZengOperations Research Society of South Africa (ORSSA)ORiON2224-00042003-12-011110.5784/1-1-513471A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards BayM.J. JoubertThe formulation of a systems dynamics model which was applied to obtain forecasts of important urban variables such as population and housing, is discussed. It is shown that the model simulated the growth trends in the town, at least for the period for which data was available, satisfactorily. A sensitivity analysis of the model was carried out and no sensitive parameters were identified during the 6 year simulation interval. An optimisation strategy by which the occupation rate of housing was restricted to certain limits, is also discussed.http://orion.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/513
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author M.J. Joubert
spellingShingle M.J. Joubert
A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay
ORiON
author_facet M.J. Joubert
author_sort M.J. Joubert
title A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay
title_short A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay
title_full A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay
title_fullStr A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay
title_full_unstemmed A mathematical model for residential planning in Richards Bay
title_sort mathematical model for residential planning in richards bay
publisher Operations Research Society of South Africa (ORSSA)
series ORiON
issn 2224-0004
publishDate 2003-12-01
description The formulation of a systems dynamics model which was applied to obtain forecasts of important urban variables such as population and housing, is discussed. It is shown that the model simulated the growth trends in the town, at least for the period for which data was available, satisfactorily. A sensitivity analysis of the model was carried out and no sensitive parameters were identified during the 6 year simulation interval. An optimisation strategy by which the occupation rate of housing was restricted to certain limits, is also discussed.
url http://orion.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/513
work_keys_str_mv AT mjjoubert amathematicalmodelforresidentialplanninginrichardsbay
AT mjjoubert mathematicalmodelforresidentialplanninginrichardsbay
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