Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions

This paper presents a consensus estimate of the changes in oceanic precipitation off the coast of Europe under increasing greenhouse gas emissions. An ensemble of regional climate models (RCMs) and three gauge and satellite-derived observational precipitation datasets are compared. While the fit bet...

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Main Authors: Francisco J. Tapiador, Andrés Navarro, Cecilia Marcos, Raúl Moreno
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-07-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/8/1198
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spelling doaj-a0ef6b767cc840d4b36b0a4cbfb4a96b2020-11-25T01:03:05ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922018-07-01108119810.3390/rs10081198rs10081198Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas EmissionsFrancisco J. Tapiador0Andrés Navarro1Cecilia Marcos2Raúl Moreno3Earth and Space Sciences Group (ESS), Institute of Environmental Sciences (ICAM), University of Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), 45071 Toledo, SpainEarth and Space Sciences Group (ESS), Institute of Environmental Sciences (ICAM), University of Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), 45071 Toledo, SpainNational Meteorology Agency (AEMET), 28071 Madrid, SpainEarth and Space Sciences Group (ESS), Institute of Environmental Sciences (ICAM), University of Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), 45071 Toledo, SpainThis paper presents a consensus estimate of the changes in oceanic precipitation off the coast of Europe under increasing greenhouse gas emissions. An ensemble of regional climate models (RCMs) and three gauge and satellite-derived observational precipitation datasets are compared. While the fit between the RCMs’ simulation of current climate and the observations shows the consistency of the future-climate projections, uncertainties in both the models and the measurements need to be considered to generate a consensus estimate of the potential changes. Since oceanic precipitation is one of the factors affecting the thermohaline circulation, the feedback mechanisms of the changes in the net influx of freshwater from precipitation are relevant not only for improving oceanic-atmospheric coupled models but also to ascertain the climate signal in a global warming scenario.http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/8/1198precipitationsatellitesclimate modelsregional climate models
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Francisco J. Tapiador
Andrés Navarro
Cecilia Marcos
Raúl Moreno
spellingShingle Francisco J. Tapiador
Andrés Navarro
Cecilia Marcos
Raúl Moreno
Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Remote Sensing
precipitation
satellites
climate models
regional climate models
author_facet Francisco J. Tapiador
Andrés Navarro
Cecilia Marcos
Raúl Moreno
author_sort Francisco J. Tapiador
title Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_short Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_full Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_fullStr Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_full_unstemmed Estimates of the Change in the Oceanic Precipitation Off the Coast of Europe due to Increasing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_sort estimates of the change in the oceanic precipitation off the coast of europe due to increasing greenhouse gas emissions
publisher MDPI AG
series Remote Sensing
issn 2072-4292
publishDate 2018-07-01
description This paper presents a consensus estimate of the changes in oceanic precipitation off the coast of Europe under increasing greenhouse gas emissions. An ensemble of regional climate models (RCMs) and three gauge and satellite-derived observational precipitation datasets are compared. While the fit between the RCMs’ simulation of current climate and the observations shows the consistency of the future-climate projections, uncertainties in both the models and the measurements need to be considered to generate a consensus estimate of the potential changes. Since oceanic precipitation is one of the factors affecting the thermohaline circulation, the feedback mechanisms of the changes in the net influx of freshwater from precipitation are relevant not only for improving oceanic-atmospheric coupled models but also to ascertain the climate signal in a global warming scenario.
topic precipitation
satellites
climate models
regional climate models
url http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/8/1198
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