Nonlinear relationship between carbon market and energy market

• Main Author: Li Yan
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: EDP Sciences 2021-01-01
• Series: E3S Web of Conferences
• Online Access: https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2021/51/e3sconf_eilcd2021_02046.pdf

This paper divides the energy market into energy futures market and new energy stock market. At the same time, the closing price of Shenzhen carbon emission rights is used to represent the carbon market price, the energy futures composite index of China Securities Exchange is used to represent the energy futures market price, and the stock price of new energy listed companies is used to represent the new energy stock market price. VAR model and MSVAR model are used to empirically study the relationship between the three variables and the nonlinear relationship between them. VAR model results show that there will be more complex relationship among carbon market price, energy company stock price and energy futures price. MSVAR model shows that the energy futures market, new energy stock market and carbon market present nonlinear and structural changes, and MSVAR model can better explain the nonlinear relationship among the three markets than traditional VAR model.