The Dawn of a New Age? Democracies and Military Victory

• Main Author: Steve Dobransky
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Henley-Putnam University 2014-04-01
• Series: Journal of Strategic Security
• Subjects: Democracy and democatization; International relations; Military affairs; Peace studies; Security policy; War studies
• Online Access: http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/jss/vol7/iss1/2/

Democracies are perceived often by the public as relatively docile and not suited best for wars. This paper challenges this perception by analyzing the relationship between regime type and war outcomes. It builds upon David Lake’s 1992 model in “Powerful Pacifists: Democratic States and War” by updating it to the present period. It examines the empirical evidence and scholarly debate in order to test and elaborate on the argument that democratic states in the modern era are more prone to fighting and winning wars. This paper, furthermore, adds a number of new variables to the Lake model to analyze the possibility that more factors are needed in the equation to better understand regime type and war outcomes. This research finds that regime type and alliances are significant variables in winning wars and that democracies win the large majority (84%) of wars that they are involved in. The paper concludes with recommendations for further research.