Is Slow Productivity and Output Growth in Advanced Economies the New Normal?

Advanced economies have seen a notable slowdown in potential growth in the past decade or so. Demographics look much less favorable to output growth than in the past, and productivity growth has been only modest. The demographic and productivity factors driving this slowdown in potential growth look...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: John Fernald
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centre for the Study of Living Standards 2018-09-01
Series:International Productivity Monitor
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.csls.ca/ipm/35/Fernald.pdf
Description
Summary:Advanced economies have seen a notable slowdown in potential growth in the past decade or so. Demographics look much less favorable to output growth than in the past, and productivity growth has been only modest. The demographic and productivity factors driving this slowdown in potential growth look to be largely independent of the Great Recession. These factors do not at this point look likely to change rapidly, despite considerable uncertainty about the future contribution of artificial intelligence and robots.
ISSN:1492-9759
1492-9767