Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Precursors with Relative Operating Characteristics (ROC) in Highresolution Ensemble Forecasts

Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Precursors with Relative Operating Characteristics (ROC) in Highresolution Ensemble Forecasts

ABSTRACT: Identifying the environmental conditions that control tropical cyclone (TC) genesis is a challenging problem. This study examines a new method to evaluate the precursors of TC genesis using high-resolution ensemble forecasts and relative operating characteristic (ROC) diagrams.With an adva...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Levi Thatcher, Zhaoxia Pu
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2013-09-01
Series:	Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Online Access:	http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603218300778

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