A Poisson Autoregressive Model to Understand COVID-19 Contagion Dynamics

We present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion dynamics of the COVID-19, which can heavily impact health, economics and finance. The model is a Poisson autoregression of the daily new observed cases, and can reveal whether contagion has a trend, and where is each co...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Arianna Agosto, Paolo Giudici
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/8/3/77