Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models

Groundwater resources, unlike surface water, are more vulnerable to disturbances and contaminations, as they take a very long time and significant cost to recover. So, predictive modeling and prevention strategies can empower policymakers for efficient groundwater governance through informed decisio...

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Main Authors: Amirhosein Mosavi, Farzaneh Sajedi Hosseini, Bahram Choubin, Mahsa Abdolshahnejad, Hamidreza Gharechaee, Ahmadreza Lahijanzadeh, Adrienn A. Dineva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-10-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/10/2770
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spelling doaj-97d92c6cd86f499aac86047bf6f371ac2020-11-25T03:28:56ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412020-10-01122770277010.3390/w12102770Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning ModelsAmirhosein Mosavi0Farzaneh Sajedi Hosseini1Bahram Choubin2Mahsa Abdolshahnejad3Hamidreza Gharechaee4Ahmadreza Lahijanzadeh5Adrienn A. Dineva6Environmental Quality, Atmospheric Science and Climate Change Research Group, Ton Duc Thang University, Ho Chi Minh, VietnamReclamation of Arid and Mountainous Regions Department, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj 31585-77871, IranSoil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Department, West Azarbaijan Agricultural and Natural Resources Research and Education Center, AREEO, Urmia 57169-63963, IranReclamation of Arid and Mountainous Regions Department, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj 31585-77871, IranReclamation of Arid and Mountainous Regions Department, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj 31585-77871, IranDeputy for Marine Environment and Wetlands, Iran Department of Environment, Tehran 73831-4155, IranInstitute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang 550000, VietnamGroundwater resources, unlike surface water, are more vulnerable to disturbances and contaminations, as they take a very long time and significant cost to recover. So, predictive modeling and prevention strategies can empower policymakers for efficient groundwater governance through informed decisions and recommendations. Due to the importance of groundwater quality modeling, the hardness susceptibility mapping using machine learning (ML) models has not been explored. For the first time, the current research aimed to predict groundwater hardness susceptibility using the ML models. The performance of two ensemble models of boosted regression trees (BRT) and random forest (RF) is investigated through the arrangement of a comparative study with multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA). According to the hardness values in 135 groundwater quality monitoring wells, the hard and soft water are determined; then, 11 predictor variables including distance from the sea (DFS), land use, elevation, distance from the river (DFR), depth to groundwater (DTGW), pH, precipitation (PCP), evaporation (E), groundwater level (GWL), curvature, and lithology are used for predicting the groundwater hardness susceptibility map. Results indicated that the variables of DFR, DTGW, elevation, and DFS had a higher contribution to the modeling process. So, the high harness areas are mostly related to low elevations, low DTGW, and proximity to river and sea, which facilitate the percolation conditions for minerals containing calcium or magnesium into groundwater.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/10/2770water quality assessmentgroundwaterhardnesssusceptibilitymachine learningboosted regression trees
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Amirhosein Mosavi
Farzaneh Sajedi Hosseini
Bahram Choubin
Mahsa Abdolshahnejad
Hamidreza Gharechaee
Ahmadreza Lahijanzadeh
Adrienn A. Dineva
spellingShingle Amirhosein Mosavi
Farzaneh Sajedi Hosseini
Bahram Choubin
Mahsa Abdolshahnejad
Hamidreza Gharechaee
Ahmadreza Lahijanzadeh
Adrienn A. Dineva
Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models
Water
water quality assessment
groundwater
hardness
susceptibility
machine learning
boosted regression trees
author_facet Amirhosein Mosavi
Farzaneh Sajedi Hosseini
Bahram Choubin
Mahsa Abdolshahnejad
Hamidreza Gharechaee
Ahmadreza Lahijanzadeh
Adrienn A. Dineva
author_sort Amirhosein Mosavi
title Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models
title_short Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models
title_full Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models
title_fullStr Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Susceptibility Prediction of Groundwater Hardness Using Ensemble Machine Learning Models
title_sort susceptibility prediction of groundwater hardness using ensemble machine learning models
publisher MDPI AG
series Water
issn 2073-4441
publishDate 2020-10-01
description Groundwater resources, unlike surface water, are more vulnerable to disturbances and contaminations, as they take a very long time and significant cost to recover. So, predictive modeling and prevention strategies can empower policymakers for efficient groundwater governance through informed decisions and recommendations. Due to the importance of groundwater quality modeling, the hardness susceptibility mapping using machine learning (ML) models has not been explored. For the first time, the current research aimed to predict groundwater hardness susceptibility using the ML models. The performance of two ensemble models of boosted regression trees (BRT) and random forest (RF) is investigated through the arrangement of a comparative study with multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA). According to the hardness values in 135 groundwater quality monitoring wells, the hard and soft water are determined; then, 11 predictor variables including distance from the sea (DFS), land use, elevation, distance from the river (DFR), depth to groundwater (DTGW), pH, precipitation (PCP), evaporation (E), groundwater level (GWL), curvature, and lithology are used for predicting the groundwater hardness susceptibility map. Results indicated that the variables of DFR, DTGW, elevation, and DFS had a higher contribution to the modeling process. So, the high harness areas are mostly related to low elevations, low DTGW, and proximity to river and sea, which facilitate the percolation conditions for minerals containing calcium or magnesium into groundwater.
topic water quality assessment
groundwater
hardness
susceptibility
machine learning
boosted regression trees
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/10/2770
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