On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020

Abstract Using publicly available data on the number of new hospitalisations we use a newly developed statistical model to produce a phase portrait to monitor the epidemic allowing for assessing whether or not intervention measures are needed to keep hospital capacity under control. The phase portra...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Christel Faes, Niel Hens, Marius Gilbert
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	BMC 2021-09-01
Series:	Archives of Public Health
Subjects:	SARS-CoV-2 Hospital load Interventions Phase diagram
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-021-00685-2

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spelling	doaj-8e71dea1f87444f281cc4938a536669e2021-09-19T11:20:09ZengBMCArchives of Public Health2049-32582021-09-017911510.1186/s13690-021-00685-2On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020Christel Faes0Niel Hens1Marius Gilbert2I-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt UniversityI-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt UniversitySpatial Epidemiology Laboratory, Université Libre de BruxellesAbstract Using publicly available data on the number of new hospitalisations we use a newly developed statistical model to produce a phase portrait to monitor the epidemic allowing for assessing whether or not intervention measures are needed to keep hospital capacity under control. The phase portrait is called a cliquets’ diagram, referring to the discrete alarm phases it points to. Using this cliquets’ diagram we show that intervention measures were associated with an effective mitigation of a Summer resurgence but that too little too late was done to prevent a large autumn wave in Belgium.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-021-00685-2SARS-CoV-2Hospital loadInterventionsPhase diagram
collection	DOAJ
language	English
format	Article
sources	DOAJ
author	Christel Faes Niel Hens Marius Gilbert
spellingShingle	Christel Faes Niel Hens Marius Gilbert On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020 Archives of Public Health SARS-CoV-2 Hospital load Interventions Phase diagram
author_facet	Christel Faes Niel Hens Marius Gilbert
author_sort	Christel Faes
title	On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020
title_short	On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020
title_full	On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020
title_fullStr	On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020
title_full_unstemmed	On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020
title_sort	on the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the belgian sars-cov-2 pandemic in 2020
publisher	BMC
series	Archives of Public Health
issn	2049-3258
publishDate	2021-09-01
description	Abstract Using publicly available data on the number of new hospitalisations we use a newly developed statistical model to produce a phase portrait to monitor the epidemic allowing for assessing whether or not intervention measures are needed to keep hospital capacity under control. The phase portrait is called a cliquets’ diagram, referring to the discrete alarm phases it points to. Using this cliquets’ diagram we show that intervention measures were associated with an effective mitigation of a Summer resurgence but that too little too late was done to prevent a large autumn wave in Belgium.
topic	SARS-CoV-2 Hospital load Interventions Phase diagram
url	https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-021-00685-2
work_keys_str_mv	AT christelfaes onthetimingofinterventionstopreservehospitalcapacitylessonstobelearnedfromthebelgiansarscov2pandemicin2020 AT nielhens onthetimingofinterventionstopreservehospitalcapacitylessonstobelearnedfromthebelgiansarscov2pandemicin2020 AT mariusgilbert onthetimingofinterventionstopreservehospitalcapacitylessonstobelearnedfromthebelgiansarscov2pandemicin2020
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On the timing of interventions to preserve hospital capacity: lessons to be learned from the Belgian SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020

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