A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function

Evidence is provided that the global distribution of tropical hurricanes is principally determined by a universal function H of a single variable z that in turn is expressible in terms of the local sea surface temperature and latitude. The data-driven model presented here carries stark implications...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Robert Ehrlich
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Hindawi Limited 2010-01-01
Series:	Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/763502

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spelling	doaj-8c25f722b12247b39a127ec6d170af852020-11-25T00:54:38ZengHindawi LimitedAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172010-01-01201010.1155/2010/763502763502A Universal Hurricane Frequency FunctionRobert Ehrlich0Physics & Astronomy Department, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, USAEvidence is provided that the global distribution of tropical hurricanes is principally determined by a universal function H of a single variable z that in turn is expressible in terms of the local sea surface temperature and latitude. The data-driven model presented here carries stark implications for the large increased numbers of hurricanes which it predicts for a warmer world. Moreover, the rise in recent decades in the numbers of hurricanes in the Atlantic, but not the Pacific basin, is shown to have a simple explanation in terms of the specific form of H(z), which yields larger percentage increases when a fixed increase in sea surface temperature occurs at higher latitudes and lower temperatures.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/763502
collection	DOAJ
language	English
format	Article
sources	DOAJ
author	Robert Ehrlich
spellingShingle	Robert Ehrlich A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function Advances in Meteorology
author_facet	Robert Ehrlich
author_sort	Robert Ehrlich
title	A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function
title_short	A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function
title_full	A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function
title_fullStr	A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function
title_full_unstemmed	A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function
title_sort	universal hurricane frequency function
publisher	Hindawi Limited
series	Advances in Meteorology
issn	1687-9309 1687-9317
publishDate	2010-01-01
description	Evidence is provided that the global distribution of tropical hurricanes is principally determined by a universal function H of a single variable z that in turn is expressible in terms of the local sea surface temperature and latitude. The data-driven model presented here carries stark implications for the large increased numbers of hurricanes which it predicts for a warmer world. Moreover, the rise in recent decades in the numbers of hurricanes in the Atlantic, but not the Pacific basin, is shown to have a simple explanation in terms of the specific form of H(z), which yields larger percentage increases when a fixed increase in sea surface temperature occurs at higher latitudes and lower temperatures.
url	http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2010/763502
work_keys_str_mv	AT robertehrlich auniversalhurricanefrequencyfunction AT robertehrlich universalhurricanefrequencyfunction
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A Universal Hurricane Frequency Function

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