UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel

UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel

A probability wheel app is intended to facilitate communication between two people, an “investigator” and a “participant”, about uncertainties inherent in decision-making. Traditionally, a probability wheel is a mechanical prop with two colored slices. A user adjusts the sizes of the slices to indic...

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Main Authors: Sheng-Cheng Huang, Sara Lee, Allen Wang, Scott B. Cantor, Clement Sun, Kaili Fan, Gregory P. Reece, Min Soon Kim, Mia K. Markey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2016-01-01
Series:SoftwareX
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352711016300292
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spelling doaj-894e6c5dd6fa4e0f85b1cbb26d444ea62020-11-25T01:35:57ZengElsevierSoftwareX2352-71102016-01-015211215UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheelSheng-Cheng Huang0Sara Lee1Allen Wang2Scott B. Cantor3Clement Sun4Kaili Fan5Gregory P. Reece6Min Soon Kim7Mia K. Markey8Department of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USA; Department of Plastic Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1515 Holcombe Blvd. Houston, TX 77030, USA; Corresponding author at: Department of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USA.Department of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USADepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USADepartment of Health Services Research, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Unit 1444, P.O. Box 301402, Houston, TX 77230-1402, USADepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USA; Department of Plastic Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1515 Holcombe Blvd. Houston, TX 77030, USADepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USADepartment of Plastic Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1515 Holcombe Blvd. Houston, TX 77030, USADepartment of Health Management and Informatics, The University of Missouri, CE707 Clinical Support & Education Building, DC006.00 Columbia, MO 65212, USADepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, 107 W Dean Keeton Street Stop C0800 Austin, TX 78712, USA; Department of Imaging Physics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1515 Holcombe Blvd. Houston, TX 77030, USAA probability wheel app is intended to facilitate communication between two people, an “investigator” and a “participant”, about uncertainties inherent in decision-making. Traditionally, a probability wheel is a mechanical prop with two colored slices. A user adjusts the sizes of the slices to indicate the relative value of the probabilities assigned to them. A probability wheel can improve the adjustment process and attenuate the effect of anchoring bias when it is used to estimate or communicate probabilities of outcomes. The goal of this work was to develop a mobile application of the probability wheel that is portable, easily available, and more versatile. We provide a motivating example from medical decision-making, but the tool is widely applicable for researchers in the decision sciences. Keywords: Probability wheel, Mobile application, Decision-making, Preference elicitation, Probability estimation, Cognitive biaseshttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352711016300292
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Sheng-Cheng Huang
Sara Lee
Allen Wang
Scott B. Cantor
Clement Sun
Kaili Fan
Gregory P. Reece
Min Soon Kim
Mia K. Markey
spellingShingle Sheng-Cheng Huang
Sara Lee
Allen Wang
Scott B. Cantor
Clement Sun
Kaili Fan
Gregory P. Reece
Min Soon Kim
Mia K. Markey
UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel
SoftwareX
author_facet Sheng-Cheng Huang
Sara Lee
Allen Wang
Scott B. Cantor
Clement Sun
Kaili Fan
Gregory P. Reece
Min Soon Kim
Mia K. Markey
author_sort Sheng-Cheng Huang
title UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel
title_short UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel
title_full UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel
title_fullStr UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel
title_full_unstemmed UT Biomedical Informatics Lab (BMIL) probability wheel
title_sort ut biomedical informatics lab (bmil) probability wheel
publisher Elsevier
series SoftwareX
issn 2352-7110
publishDate 2016-01-01
description A probability wheel app is intended to facilitate communication between two people, an “investigator” and a “participant”, about uncertainties inherent in decision-making. Traditionally, a probability wheel is a mechanical prop with two colored slices. A user adjusts the sizes of the slices to indicate the relative value of the probabilities assigned to them. A probability wheel can improve the adjustment process and attenuate the effect of anchoring bias when it is used to estimate or communicate probabilities of outcomes. The goal of this work was to develop a mobile application of the probability wheel that is portable, easily available, and more versatile. We provide a motivating example from medical decision-making, but the tool is widely applicable for researchers in the decision sciences. Keywords: Probability wheel, Mobile application, Decision-making, Preference elicitation, Probability estimation, Cognitive biases
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352711016300292
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