Short-Term Wind Speed Hybrid Forecasting Model Based on Bias Correcting Study and Its Application

The accuracy of wind speed forecasting is becoming increasingly important to improve and optimize renewable wind power generation. In particular, reliable short-term wind speed forecasting can enable model predictive control of wind turbines and real-time optimization of wind farm operation. However...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mingfei Niu, Shaolong Sun, Jie Wu, Yuanlei Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi Limited 2015-01-01
Series:Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/351354
Description
Summary:The accuracy of wind speed forecasting is becoming increasingly important to improve and optimize renewable wind power generation. In particular, reliable short-term wind speed forecasting can enable model predictive control of wind turbines and real-time optimization of wind farm operation. However, due to the strong stochastic nature and dynamic uncertainty of wind speed, the forecasting of wind speed data using different patterns is difficult. This paper proposes a novel combination bias correcting forecasting method, which includes the combination forecasting method and forecasting bias correcting model. The forecasting result shows that the combination bias correcting forecasting method can more accurately forecast the trend of wind speed and has a good robustness.
ISSN:1024-123X
1563-5147