A model-based approach for the analysis of the calibration of probability judgments
The calibration of probability or confidence judgments concerns the association between the judgments and some estimate of the correct probabilities of events. Researchers rely on estimates using relative frequencies computed by aggregating data over observations. We show that this approach creates...
Main Authors: | David V. Budescu, Timothy R. Johnson |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Society for Judgment and Decision Making
2011-12-01
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Series: | Judgment and Decision Making |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://journal.sjdm.org/11/m01/m01.pdf |
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