On reliability analysis of multi-categorical forecasts
Reliability analysis of probabilistic forecasts, in particular through the rank histogram or Talagrand diagram, is revisited. Two shortcomings are pointed out: Firstly, a uniform rank histogram is but a necessary condition for reliability. Secondly, if the forecast is assumed to be reliable, an indi...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2008-08-01
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| Series: | Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
| Online Access: | http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/15/661/2008/npg-15-661-2008.pdf |